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Can the trick/treat rate not be dynamic based on the number of candy you gave?
If ^candy given = ^treat probability
Like give at least 5 to have a fair 50/50 chance; giving 10, 20, 30 candy will continue increasing your probability for treat.
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The more candy you give
does increase your chances of getting a treat instead of tricked. But not all trick or treaters are the same, and some like giving tricks more than giving treats.