Synx 99% chance; would only fail if somehow leadership was transferred away.
ZigZag 75% chance; is perhaps the weakest guild on the board, often seem to be exploited for doubles.
Sangue 75% chance; are active enough and seem to have a big group.
BFMR 20% chance; only seem to tower mod and often are getting doubled off of by illusive.
Assertive 20% chance; seemingly won't make it without a massive influx of members.
Talon 30% chance; homes dw, is decently active, but has a very large gap to overcome.
illusive 70% chance; has a massive member count, but has the largest amount of hours needed; probably will succeed at their current pace
Regashi 80% chance; way too few hours needed to see them failing.

Borrowed twilit's list and edited it with percentage amounts(ofc all from my perspective).  

Don't forget that Regashi's leader is banned. That is a factor. Plus there technically are no leads due to the inability to distribute powers.  

Imo they all should succeed.

Starting from today:
- The maximum time the 6 towers will give during the 27 days is 3888 h.
- Time left for each relevant tower guild:
Synx: 146 h
ZigZag: 227 h
Sangue: 284 h
Regashi: 115 h
illusive: 677 h
Talon: 651 h
BFMR: 376 h
Assertive: 504 h
Total hours needed= 2980

Knowing that once a guild hits 1k hours, it will leave a tower free for the other guilds and it's highly unlikely that a new guild will go for 1k hours before the new system, all the guild's above has 100% chance to succeed and there will even be a wasted ~ 900 h on these guilds who take forts a few mins a day etc...

All in all, the most competitive guilds double on the weakest guilds, the weakest guilds will have the time to hit 1k hours after the most competitive are done and members from the most competitive will 70% join these "weaker" guilds.  

Posted by Sarah_

All in all

You're just another brick in the wall  

People who finish might try to stop/not let others achieve 1k. Gotta factor that in. Plus, some people might just tower for fun, until May ends.  

Posted by GotenGraal

You're just another brick in the wall

Blame my English class professor B)

Posted by Aguzo

People who finish might try to stop/not let others achieve 1k. Gotta factor that in. Plus, some people might just tower for fun, until May ends.

As I said there will be a not used ~900 h. If you say that guilds who take forts for a few min a day will cumulate a 20 h(being very generous) a day each day during 27 days it will be 540 h, there will still be 400 h left.
If you check the leaderboard you will see that these are the only guilds with influence. I don't think people will create a full guild to stop the others, hat chasers will rather join these guilds for a last chance to get a 1k hat.


Many members of Synx said they'll join illusive after they are done, this will go on and if somebody wants to stop guilds from hitting 1k they would have done it by now already but I see no guilds. (They would be weak against the guilds I listed anyway.)  

from "funny/cringey" thread:

Posted by Anakin_Graal

illusive tripled on and held from a full Assertive of 20, I thought that was both funny and a bit amazing

ZigZag, who had 17 on, actually gave up on Sards and went to Deadwood because they couldn't take from illusive... All the while illusive is still tripling and holding from Assertive with 20

>Stuff like this is why i really want the guilds that are sure to succeed (synx, zigzag, illusive) to go past 1k to the end of the month; if these guilds go on, with ohana and other noob guilds, they could be able to stop some of the other guilds from getting 1k in time.  

Shouldn't be hard for any guild... The more guilds that finish, the less number of guilds that will care about towering, and the GST is coming up so during that week it will be even less competitive
Won't be hard, if any guild can't do it then they honestly don't deserve it  

About 3 years late on this decision classic...  

Posted by GotenGraal

You're just another brick in the wall

no u cant have ur pudding ok  

Posted by Vic

no u cant have ur pudding ok

+rep for getting the reference  

Sent from my SM-G360T1 using Tapatalk

Illusive yesterday lol

Sent from my SM-G360T1 using Tapatalk  

I think the thing I'll miss the least about 1k guilds is how passing leadership of guilds has devolved into this process where entire guilds are stripped down to the hat itself...

A few months ago, I got a guild back from someone who stole it from Candydreams. I gave her leadership, and eventually she gave it to her brother. Her brother then gave it to someone else for them to lead. That person then gave it to someone else under the promise that they'd get the hat if it's brought to 1k.
That's a bit of a rant, but the entire guild has no face or identity at that point. It becomes some vessel that people use for X amount of hours to unlock a hat that doesn't represent a guild or theme or group of people in any way.

I'll always defend rewards for towering, but I'm surprised that the hat itself is that important to people. So many people have done stuff like that, or traded hats with other guild leaders, or sold hats, etc. As I finish up my last guild, I'm sort of glad that stuff will soon be gone entirely (or at least I hope).  

Posted by Thallen

I think the thing I'll miss the least about 1k guilds is how passing leadership of guilds has devolved into this process where entire guilds are stripped down to the hat itself...

A few months ago, I got a guild back from someone who stole it from Candydreams. I gave her leadership, and eventually she gave it to her brother. Her brother then gave it to someone else for them to lead. That person then gave it to someone else under the promise that they'd get the hat if it's brought to 1k.
That's a bit of a rant, but the entire guild has no face or identity at that point. It becomes some vessel that people use for X amount of hours to unlock a hat that doesn't represent a guild or theme or group of people in any way.

I'll always defend rewards for towering, but I'm surprised that the hat itself is that important to people. So many people have done stuff like that, or traded hats with other guild leaders, or sold hats, etc. As I finish up my last guild, I'm sort of glad that stuff will soon be gone entirely (or at least I hope).

Yup , towers inc is a prime example stolen at 400h but who cares cuz 25 big names on graal got a hat out of right? , no guilds actually have an identity and character anymore , 95% of 1KS now you could easily brand as a 2.0 of a previous 1k , cuz that's all they are , chain chain chain and popular leaders just snapping their fingers and getting it done for them , I don't see why people care more about the hat than the journey , probably because no guilds offer a really good journey anymore , just same old same old , time for a change , as long as its not stupid and gives custom hats for other challenges..that would be kinda crap if 1KS hardly meant anything anymore , then again graal has a habit of paving over something and making it mean nothing anymore , just so people can get some extra "rewards"  

Does this mean towers will be removed entirely, with this new system? Or will the new system work around towers and whatnot?